demographics as destiny
The Economist cites favorable demographics as one reason to be optimistic about Africa in the coming decades. The article notes:
… A fast-growing, economically active population provides the initial impetus to industrial production; then a supply of new workers coming from villages can, if handled properly, enable a country to become more productive. China and East Asia are the models. On some calculations, demography accounted for about a third of East Asia’s phenomenal growth over the past 30 years.
I’ve opined previously that (due to one-child) China’s situation in about 15 years becomes pretty serious. Here’s China in 1990:

And 2030:

For developing countries, India and Brazil have very favorable demographics. India in 2030:

Among developed countries, the U.S. has a reasonably favorable demographic situation, for all of the attention given to the baby boomer situation. For comparison, here’s the U.S. in 2030 using the same scale:

Data from U.S. Census Bureau International Data Base.
[...] as to whether the left-over women from the earlier digression will be doing a lot of child-rearing. China’s already facing a skewed upside down pyramid of population distribution, that will get …. India is at least in a better position to cope with [...]
[...] way demographic trends are looking, my classmates are probably right that China is going to need more babies. This summer, [...]
please put the data up !!
[...] providing much of an explanation for the mechanism) that China will be free of an identical fate, a crucial objection to his argument: Of course, China faces its own demographic nightmares, and skeptics point to many [...]
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Nice to read about this